Tropical Storm Falcon maintains strength, nears Northern Luzon

Signal Nos. 1 and 2 remain up in several areas as Tropical Storm Falcon (Danas) approaches Northern Luzon late Tuesday night, July 16

Acor Arceo

Published: 11:55 PM July 16, 2019

Updated: 12:00 AM July 17, 2019

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Satellite image of Tropical Storm Falcon (Danas) as of July 16, 2019, 10:30 pm. Image from NOAA

MANILA, Philippines – Tropical Storm Falcon (Danas) maintained its strength late Tuesday evening, July 16, as it moved closer to Northern Luzon.

In a bulletin issued 11 pm on Tuesday, the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical, and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) said Falcon is already 195 kilometers east southeast of Tuguegarao City, Cagayan.

It is still moving west, but at a slightly slower pace of 25 kilometers per hour (km/h) from the previous 30 km/h.

Falcon continues to have maximum winds of 65 km/h and gustiness of up to 80 km/h. (READ: FAST FACTS: Tropical cyclones, rainfall advisories)

Signal No. 2 remains raised in:

northeastern part of Cagayan including Babuyan Group of Islands

Batanes

Signal No. 1, meanwhile, is still up over:

rest of Cagayan

Ilocos Norte

Abra

Apayao

Kalinga

Isabela

Mountain Province

Ifugao

northern part of Aurora

northern part of Nueva Vizcaya

northern part of Quirino

PAGASA warned that Falcon could closely approach or make landfall over the Batanes-Babuyan area on Wednesday afternoon or evening, July 17.

The tropical storm also continues to enhance the southwest monsoon or hanging habagat, which is triggering rain as well.

Below is the latest on the expected rainfall:

Tuesday evening, July 16, until Wednesday evening, July 17

Moderate to heavy rain

Ilocos Region

Cordillera Administrative Region

Cagayan Valley

Nueva Ecija

Aurora

Zambales

Occidental Mindoro

northern part of Palawan including Calamian and Cuyo islands

Aklan

Antique

Capiz

Iloilo

Guimaras

Light to heavy rain

Metro Manila

Calabarzon

Bicol

rest of Central Luzon

rest of Mimaropa

rest of the Visayas

Wednesday evening, July 17, until Thursday evening, July 18

Moderate to heavy rain

Ilocos Region

Cordillera Administrative Region

Cagayan Valley

Light to heavy rain

Metro Manila

Central Luzon

Calabarzon

Mimaropa

Flash floods and landslides are possible in areas affected by Falcon and the enhanced southwest monsoon.

Classes have been suspended in some areas for Wednesday. (READ: #WalangPasok: Class suspensions, Wednesday, July 17, 2019)

Sea travel is also risky in the seaboards of areas under Signal Nos. 1 and 2, and in the eastern seaboard of Central Luzon, the seaboard of Southern Luzon, and the eastern and western seaboards of the Visayas.

Falcon is expected to leave the Philippine Area of Responsibility on Friday, July 19.

Forecast track of Tropical Storm Falcon (Danas) as of July 16, 2019, 11 pm. Image from PAGASA

The Philippines gets an average of 20 tropical cyclones annually, but since 2019 is an El Niño year, only 14 to 18 tropical cyclones are expected.

Below is the estimated number of tropical cyclones from July to December:

July - 2 or 3

August - 2 to 4

September - 2 to 4

October - 2 or 3

November - 1 or 2

December - 0 or 1

PAGASA declared the start of the rainy season last June 14. – Rappler.com